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SUMMARY; CHARSET=UTF-8 :Dangerous Scenarios – Designing climate change mitigation policy for uncertain futures
UID:exeter_event_13835
URL:http://www.exeter.ac.uk/events/details/?event=13835
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20240320T123000
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20240320T133000
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ORGANIZER: MAILTO:S.Siegert@exeter.ac.uk
ATTACH: http://www.exeter.ac.uk/events/details/?event=13835
DTSTAMP:20240312T094452
LOCATION:Harrison 170
DESCRIPTION; CHARSET=UTF-8 :Inherent uncertainty in Land Use Change (LUC) has largely been ignored in the design of historic climate change adaptation and mitigation policy.  Instead, large or poorly understood uncertainties (typically those linked to future social/societal change) are handled with scenario analysis, with LUC outcomes evaluated for a pre-selected set of potential futures, each treated as alternative but certain outcomes.  Here we show that such approaches are dangerously simplistic; to the extent that some LUC designs, which present favourably in a scenario-analysis approach, risk worse outcomes than if we simply do nothing.http://www.exeter.ac.uk/events/details/?event=13835
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